1 Intro 2 Cross validation Metrics 3. Pre-processing 3.1 Base recipe 3.2 Spline recipe 3.3 Prophet boost recipe 4 Modelling 4.1 GLM 4.2 MARS 4.3 RF 4.4 XGB 4.5 Prophet boost 5. Evaluation Conclusion 1 Intro The aim of this series of blog is to predict monthly admissions to Singapore public acute adult hospitals. EDA for the dataset was explored in past posts ( part 1 ; part 2 ).